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Do Early Voting Numbers Spell Bad News for Democrats?

by Red State
October 13, 2024
in Aggregated
Do Early Voting Numbers Spell Bad News for Democrats?

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There’s something of a truism in American elections that in states that allow early voting, Democrats are more prone to vote early, while Republicans are more prone to vote on the traditional election day. These opportunities vary from state to state, and we can argue whether this is or is not a good practice, but we can take that up at another time.

Alaska, by the way, does allow early voting, but the early voting station is 30 miles away and in the rip-roaring big city of Wasilla, so we’re passing; we’ll vote on November 5th at our little local community center that’s only five miles away. But back to that truism: This year, early voting appears to be down from 2020. Is this bad for Democrats? More to the point – is it good for Republicans?

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The dramatic rise in early voting has led many to think the election might be effectively over days or weeks before Election Day. The data thus far show that won’t be true — and the numbers aren’t comforting for Democrats.

Early voting is nowhere near what some people estimated: 4.2 million Americans have already cast their ballots, per John Couvillon, a Republican political strategist who provides daily updates on early and mail voting.

That sounds like a lot, but it’s a pittance compared with the 158.6 million votes ultimately cast in 2020.

More important, it’s significantly less than this point in 2020: Early voting is down 45%, Couvillon’s numbers show. […]

— Read More: redstate.com

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